Monday, June 15, 2009

Right Livelihood, Right Now!

This might be an opportune moment to broach the subject of “Right Livelihood.”

Presently, millions of American white collar and blue collar workers have lost their jobs or have been forced to accept shortened work weeks.

Millions of gainfully employed citizens count themselves among “The Working Worried.” They live with the very real possibility of being sacked at a moment’s notice.

Thousands of young college grads are forced to boomerang back to their parents’ homes and take marginal jobs.

Even Warren Buffett (“America’s Greatest Investor”) lost nearly 60% of his investors’ premier stock portfolio in Berkshire Hathaway.

And we all know what the collapse of the housing and financial markets means to the Boomer’s retirement plans. The silver-haired generation will be fool’s gold geriatrics.

So consider this:

Post World War II American Industrial Capitalism is over. It was an amazing ride but it is now kaput. The financial elites on Wall Street, in restricted corporate boardrooms and behind closed Congressional doors, simply robbed shareholders, bondholders, and worker pension funds of their accumulated wealth.

Think GM, AIG, Lehman Brothers, Standard & Poors, Moody, Bank of America, Merrill Lynch, Countrywide, etc., etc., etc…

Everyone who was anyone inside the financial community knew what was happening but simply did not care to go public. It was too lucrative to just follow the herd — off a cliff. That was what confused and confounded Alan Greenspan, the once-venerated chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank. He could not imagine in his wildest dreams that the pillars of the establishment would let the system collapse. But if you read too much Ayn Rand in your youth and don’t talk with anyone except those in your select clique for 50 years, you become a dangerous relic of the past.

Essentially, the American government has made a group of inside interests too big to fail. That is the rationale for the mega-trillion dollar bailout, courtesy of the American taxpayer and foreign stakeholders, of our treasury debt.

And it’s probably true that there was no other choice than to fork over our nation’s wallet to well-heeled muggers. The alternative was a probable global Depression.

The more obvious lessons of our ongoing tale of financial woe are:
  • Establishment elites pursuing lives of “Wrong Livelihood” made out like bandits.

  • The proverbial little guy has lost his inflated stake in both stock and housing markets.

  • The system cannot seem to self-correct its most obvious blunders.
I often feel like the kid who yelled out “The Emperor is naked!” The facts are obvious to all in their pink splendor.

Our national debt — including the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, Medicare and Medicaid, government pensions, bum mortgages and derivative swaps, credit card debt, student loan debt, and interest and principle on official national and state debt before the current meltdown — is many times the size of our real productive economy. Our kids and grandkids are going to hate us.

So, where does this leave a creative person?

Actually, it leaves us surprisingly well off compared to most wage earners.

Money was never the key motivator in our lives. We set up small businesses and took day jobs so we could paint, make films, strut on stage, write, perform, and compose music, create on the computer, write plays and screenplays, design all and sundry sorts of things and experiences…

I recorded the following interviews with eight “Maine Originals” six or seven years ago — while 9/11 was still fresh in our national psyche. The tagline for the series of vignettes is “Creative lives linked to land, sea, and community.”

That is about as good a definition of “Right Livelihood” as I’ve seen. The people who were profiled inspired me to try in my own way to contribute to civil society’s long-term prospects.

The voices that you hear in the links below just might ignite your own originality. If the current state of our nation’s finances and frayed social fabric has a bottom line, it might be this:

We need practical visionaries to create new and resilient American Dreams — the old ones are falling of their own accord into the dustbin of history.

Here are two web links:

http://www.creativeledgestudio.com/maineoriginals/originals.html

http://www.creativeledgestudio.com/maineoriginals/

Tuesday, May 26, 2009

Finessing A Recession Part II: What Now?


On June 8, 2008, I posted a surprisingly prescient blog entry titled Finessing A Recession. It was a muted, mildly upbeat musing on what looked like the beginning of a major recession.

As a longtime student of financial markets and a reluctant realist (are there any other kind?), I tried to put a positive spin on an economic system on the brink of spinning out of control.

Because the United States is an essentially commercial country founded on a perennial optimism about the future of the human condition, there is a social taboo in business circles about offering warnings of impending doom. This genuinely separates us from our European and Asian cousins who are heirs to static social systems and endless wars with neighboring nations.

It would be helpful to see how my pre-meltdown advice looks in a post-meltdown world. Here is a link to the initial blog entry:

http://www.creativeledge.com/blog/2008/06/finessing-recession.php

What follows is a short updated summary of where things are now and might be headed:

Realize that all economic downturns eventually bottom out and things get better. History suggests that most down economic cycles take anywhere from two to seven years to run their course. Ironically, it is at the point of maximum pessimism where the real opportunities are often found.

That is probably still true; but it could take a generation or two to reform and modernize our banking laws. The relentless pace of technology and scientific innovation will continually disrupt large, static, and often corrupt bureaucratic political institutions and financial markets.

When you start to hear everyone blabbing about the “greener pastures/heavens on earth” that are to be found in Tennessee, North Carolina, North Georgia, and Las Vegas, it might be the time to both roll your eyes and take out your checkbook.

That is a mixed bag. Vegas has crapped-out because the cancellation of national conventions and a tapped-out consumer sector. Tennessee, North Georgia, and North Carolina are still looking good. They have strong university systems, relatively low taxes and housing costs, and lots of open land. But these states are still at the mercy of a fickle and profligate Congress and the Federal Reserve, and could also be overwhelmed by refugees from both Florida and the Midwest. Yet they remain fairly good bets compared to other parts of the country for both young people and retirees. (Chicago and Philly also look very attractive to this writer’s eyes.)

Start researching local real estate opportunities, broad-based stock indexes and mutual funds, and the possibility of starting a creative business. In Florida, you can enjoy warm winters and rent cheap studio or office space. The trick is to have cash or a secure line of credit during a major downturn or panic, but it takes nerve and a basic optimism about the future.

True. If you are under 35 years of age, there are real entrepreneurial opportunities in this depressing economy—especially in the areas of innovative new digital media, healthcare, and public policy consulting. Time is definitely on your side, but business start-ups in this environment are not for slackers, wimps, or whiners.

As to broad-based, long-term investing in financial markets: It probably makes sense for young professionals with reasonably defined career prospects (medicine, engineering, elementary education, etc.) to maximize their contributions to their IRAs and 401K retirement accounts. For young creative types under 35 with more unpredictable career trajectories, any extra cash (probably from parents or bartending) might be better spent getting an online MBA degree or certificates in the application of high-end software, statistics, or Spanish.

Perhaps the best investment that a young person could make is in a stable interpersonal relationship. This was once quaintly called courtship, engagement and marriage. But the new model for a surprising number of educated young people is the “committed monogamous relationship” without a contract document granted by state and church.

It is clear to this graying/balding observer of young people is that the ability to form durable unions (of whatever variety) is essential to both their wellbeing and a functioning society. A nation that does not foster stable childbearing families is in serious decline. Western Europe, Japan, Singapore, and China are already on this slippery demographic slope.


In one of Kurt Vonnegut’s novels, he referred to a married couple as a “Nation of Two.” It is an apt metaphor for one of the few refuges from the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune.

I would like to end this piece with some shocking observations by the distinguished Chicago-based writer and conservative curmudgeon, Joseph Epstein. They appeared in the March 16th 2009 issue of Newsweek Magazine:

Robert E. Lucas Jr., a University of Chicago macroeconomist and Nobel Prize winner, in his January 2003 keynote address to the American Association of Economists, announced that economic depression was not longer a problem that modern economists had to be concerned with. “The central problem of depression-prevention has been solved, for all practical purposes,” Lucas said, “and has in fact been solved for many decades.” With something that begins more and more scarily to look like precisely such a depression, Lucas—give the man credit for honesty—more recently admitted that he didn’t know what the solutions to our current-day problems are.

The reality for successful creative types is that our profitable small businesses and consultancies will not be bailed-out with taxpayer money if we screw up.

Our hard-won creative economy experiences and expertise are as valid as those of arrogant academics and faux-expert pundits. We have an obligation to our country and world to speak up and get involved in the national dialogue—no matter where on the political spectrum we are.

Most of us can function in a precarious environment without a safety net. Most of our fellow citizens cannot. They need our free-agent creativity and our delight in the possibilities of a free and democratic society.

Friday, May 15, 2009

Leopold Engleitner's Story of Optimism

Leopold Engleitner is the world's oldest known male Nazi concentration camp survivor whose experiences have been documented in the award winning book and film Unbroken Will.

For refusing to join Hitler's Army, Leopold Engleitner, an Austrian born in 1905, was interned in three of the most infamous Nazi Concentration Camps in Germany. His refusal to sign a simple declaration denouncing his religion and swearing his allegiance to the Reich put him in a collision course with Nazi Germany that nearly cost him his life. His iron will and his determination to stand up for just principles have become a role model for all. An old tattered suitcase became a symbol of hope for a long and impossible journey back home. At his release, he weighed less than 62 pounds, but today at the age of 103, he still lives to share his story of optimism.

Fresh from his lectures at Harvard University and in Florida, Leopold Engleitner will be visiting Los Angeles and appearing at the Los Angeles Museum of the Holocaust (May 14 and 24) the Moorpark College (May 22 and 23), UCLA (May 20) and the Lammle's Sunset 5 Theatre in West Hollywood, where his prize-winning documentary Unbroken Will and his 2006 USA Lecture Tour film will be screened from May 15 to 21, 2009 at 1:00 PM, 4:30 PM, 7:30 PM, 10:00 PM.

These excellent articles covered his first event on May 4, 2009 at Harvard University:

Holocaust survivor, 103, tells students of resisting Nazis
The Boston Globe

Oldest living Holocaust survivor speaks at Harvard
The Harvard Gazette

For further information please visit www.unbrokenwill.com.

Monday, April 27, 2009

Art Not Hate: Creative Responses to Conflict

Our times and our selves are defined by conflict.

We are highly evolved mammals with big brains that can do the most ethereal abstract mathematical reasoning, produce masterpieces of music and art, envision astounding future possibilities — including our own mortality.

Still, we are sensate and aggressive creatures who crave the tactile intimacy of our clan and fear outsiders — and will not hesitate to violently attack perceived strangers.

This issue of Views From CreativeLedge explores the tension between our conflicting human tendencies to create and collaborate or to kill each other and destroy the hard won achievements of human culture.

In a world that has witnessed between 119,000,000 and 265,000,000 state-sponsored homicides (depending on who is doing the counting) between World War I and the present, this is not an academic question.

Below you will find an array of web links to stimulate your thinking and to constructively engage your community wherever you find it.

Perhaps the most compelling quote on the subject of overcoming our conflicted nature is from Charles Darwin:

“In the long history of humankind, those who learned to collaborate and improvise most effectively have always prevailed.”

Art Not Hate book

“A bird doesn’t sing because it has an answer,
it sings because it has a song.” – Maya Angelou

Like 74 million other baby boomers, my life has been defined and
changed by conflict. We are the Post-World War II generation.

Read more | Buy the book

Friday, April 17, 2009

Dreaming up ideas: a talk from Sung Park of Umagination Labs

Sung Park of Umagination Labs recently spoke at MIT Sloan School of Management about effective techniques for coming up with innovative ideas. His engaging presentation offers creative ways to approach the brainstorming process. Take a look:



Thanks to Ted Chan of 2bl.org for the tip.

Monday, April 6, 2009

9 Pricing Strategies for Artistic and Creative Professionals

By Ted Chan, MIT Sloan School of Management
2bl.org

Pricing a creative product is one of the great challenges in life, and is itself an art form. Getting it right requires an understanding of finance, behavioral economics and social psychology. Pricing contains a number of paradoxes that can prevent you from maximizing your profits. This article provides some food for thought as you consider how to price and market your good.

  1. Pricing at 00 and 50 is the only option for luxury goods. An experiment performed in an art studio revealed that high-end art with prices ending in 00 and 50 sold far better than anything with other numbers. Art is an acquisition where people want to feel they are buying quality rather than getting value. Ninety-nines and 95s are good for conveying value and might be effective for lower priced goods such as mass market clothing, simple prints or small photographic works.

  2. Understand your costs. One thing I’ve noticed about creatives is that they think very little about costs. Paints, materials, packaging, transport, framing and just about everything else you can think of are expensive. There’s also overhead — a studio, electricity, display space rental and cost of sales. Don’t forget studio fees as well. It’s important to lay out the costs of the entire ecosystem when assessing what price point is sustainable for creating quality art work.

  3. Avoid double marginalization with downstream sellers. Something that isn’t even understood well in Fortune 500 companies is transfer pricing. Double marginalization is the concept that if you overcharge your downstream sellers (distributors, such as art resellers and studios) they will charge a price that is sub-optimal to the end consumer. This means everyone’s profits will suffer, and your art will be less price competitive. A better way to approach the problem is to figure out with your downstream seller what the optimal price would be to the end buyer, and create a revenue split that you think is fair.

  4. For some goods, raising prices may increase demand. An example was a brand of fountain pens in Britain that raised prices and expected a drop in demand. However, demand actually increased for their high-end metal and wood pens. Demand decreased for their plastic pens when they raised prices. This is likely to be true with many luxury and creative goods where perceived quality is more important to a buyer. It’s really important to study what matters to your customers.

  5. A higher price impacts those who enter your network. For service businesses, a higher price signals exclusivity and can act as a gatekeeper to ensure high quality. For instance, a millionaire dating service that charges men $25,000 for an annual membership will keep poor college students out and attract women who are pre-qualified to be interested in meeting such men. This applies to creative services or networking groups as well. Be wary of anything that’s free. You often get what you pay for in terms of the quality of the constituent base.

  6. Luxury goods are not just about conspicuous consumption. People once thought that luxury purchases were related to the desire to show off conspicuous consumption. A more nuanced understanding includes self-perception and milestones. The feeling of “I can buy this, I’ve made it” is also a key part of the luxury good purchase. Make your high end customers feel that way and you will be in better shape.

  7. For gift items, a low price may not be desirable. One must think carefully about the purchase process for their goods. When giving a gift, a low price is not always desirable. This is the case in Asia with alcoholic beverages often given as gifts, such as scotch and brandy. People generally know the prices of these goods, and pricing your brand/goods higher may actually increase price. This, of course, implies that pricing information would be assumed to be available to the gift receiver. If you own an art studio, this especially applies when a millionaire brings his rich boyfriend/girlfriend in searching for a gift!

  8. When you do put things on sale, 30% saturation is about the max. With sales, too much removes the perception that a buyer is getting a good deal. Research at MIT indicates that above 30% “sale saturation” in your store or website removes the effectiveness of this sale topic.

  9. When pricing, give three options. Many interesting studies reveal that adding a ridiculous third option can make a second option more appealing. Originally, the Economist sold an online subscription for $59, and print/online bundled subscription for $129. The split in sales was about 40% for the $59 online subscription and 60% for the $129 subscription. They then added a $129 print only subscription option. You would think that it the new split would be 60% online, 40% for the bundle and zero for the print only. Instead, zero picked the print only, but 80% bought the $129 option.

    Another example is adding an extremely expensive (2x or 3x) third option that is only slightly better than the second option. This leads users to choose the middle option rather than the cheapest option, leading to significant increases in revenue. This is a common strategy for companies like HP and Xerox to get you to move up from a low-range product.

Ted Chan writes his own blog about social entrepreneurship and economics at www.2bl.org. He can be contacted at tedchan@gmail.com with any follow-up questions.

Tuesday, March 3, 2009

Hopeful Views from CreativeLedge

The birthplace of the American experiment was on the rocky coast of New England. It is a place of mercurial weather, merciless gales, treacherous rock ledges, pea-soup fogs, and snug harbor communities.

Many of the people who gave us our durable democratic form of government and a spirit of innovative enterprise were fishermen and mariners. Remnants of this traditional self-reliant and self-confident seafaring Yankee culture are still found in Maine.

This post is inspired by my decade-long connection to the Pine Tree state. The following items are intended to remind Americans that we have a long history of building durable and beautifully designed structures that manifest genuine integrity and creativity.

In many the ways, the profligate waste, shortsightedness, and national incompetence of the last 20 years is an historical anomaly. We can choose to revisit time-tested traditional and progressive American mindsets and verities in new ways.

It is there that we will find the will and ways to innovate and grow our still great nation out of its current trajectory of political malaise and economic decline.

The first item for viewing is Musings on a Maine Peapod. It is an intergenerational American dialogue about what matters. There is also a relevant blog entry about the video.

Casco Bay Swing

The second item is an expression of pure creative joy about the coast of Maine. It includes original dance, music, and art.

Video dialogue featuring Betsy Biemann

Thirdly, there is a compelling video dialogue featuring Betsy Biemann (President of the Maine Technology Institute) and Gary Mormino (Director of the Florida Studies Program at USF). Every state in the union needs to innovate itself out of its current economic crisis. These distinguished public policy experts explain how it might happen.

Interview with Jerry Cumbo

Fourth is an interview with Jerry Cumbo, who manages the shop at the world-famous Wooden Boat School in Brooklin, Maine.

CreativeLedge Studio

And last but not least, there is my CreativeLedge Studio on Long Island, Maine. This little bit of rock in the Casco Bay is where the entire U.S. North Atlantic was fueled for the liberation of Europe in WWII.

In these turbulent days, it is important to recognize that our country has survived hard times before because her citizens rose to the challenges and did what needed to be done — creatively.